Aaron Nola
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
4-1
ERA
3.32
WHIP
1.15
K
40
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nola shocked many when he decided to re-up with the Phillies for seven years rather than test the free agent waters in what was a lucrative market with multiple big market teams looking for pitching. Then again, Nola has pitched very well at Citizens Bank Ballpark over the years whereas his struggles have more recently been away from Philly. You may be surprised to learn that Nola pitched to a 3.29 ERA with 12 homers in 87.2 innings at home in 2023, but had a 5.43 ERA with 20 homers in 106 innings on the road last season. He is a rare bird in that he has not missed a single start since missing a handful of starts in the 2017 season and has pitched at least 180 innings in each of the past five full seasons. He has become rather stingy with walks in recent years while continuing to get 200+ strikeouts year after year. 2021 and 2023 have a familiar look to them and Nola absolutely has the ability to bounce back in 2024 as he did in 2022 while deciding to continue his career where it began. Read Past Outlooks
Pulled after four frames
Nola did not factor into the decision Friday against the Giants, allowing two runs on four hits and four walks over four innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Both of the Giants' runs came in the second inning on a Thairo Estrada double, though the damage certainly could've been a lot worse -- Nola needed 46 pitches to get through the frame, issuing four walks. The right-hander was ultimately pulled after throwing 89 pitches. Nola, who'd gone eight innings in each of his previous two starts, is 4-1 on the season with a 3.32 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 40:15 K:BB across seven outings (43.1 innings). Nola's currently lined up for a road matchup with the Marlins in his next start.
Both of the Giants' runs came in the second inning on a Thairo Estrada double, though the damage certainly could've been a lot worse -- Nola needed 46 pitches to get through the frame, issuing four walks. The right-hander was ultimately pulled after throwing 89 pitches. Nola, who'd gone eight innings in each of his previous two starts, is 4-1 on the season with a 3.32 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 40:15 K:BB across seven outings (43.1 innings). Nola's currently lined up for a road matchup with the Marlins in his next start.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Aaron Nola generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Nola generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .222 | 213 | 51 | 174 | 29 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .234 | 264 | 38 | 207 | 29 | |||
2024vs Left | .250 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 5 | |||
2024vs Right | .185 | 26 | 7 | 15 | 2 | |||
2023vs Left | .240 | 90 | 25 | 81 | 16 | |||
2023vs Right | .241 | 112 | 20 | 97 | 16 | |||
2022vs Left | .200 | 109 | 18 | 73 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .237 | 126 | 11 | 95 | 11 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-13%
ERA at Home
2024
-45%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.50 | 1.00 | 208.1 | 10.0 | 1.8 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.04 | 1.12 | 233.2 | 9.5 | 1.8 | ||||
2024Home | 4.18 | 1.27 | 23.2 | 8.7 | 2.7 | ||||
2024Away | 2.29 | 1.02 | 19.2 | 7.8 | 3.7 | ||||
2023Home | 3.29 | 0.97 | 87.2 | 10.0 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Away | 5.43 | 1.30 | 106.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.53 | 0.96 | 97.0 | 10.3 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Away | 3.00 | 0.96 | 108.0 | 10.3 | 1.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Nola compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.67K/9
8.3BB/9
3.1HR/9
1.5Fastball
90.9 mphERA
3.32WHIP
1.15BABIP
.254GB/FB
1.29Left On Base
82.1%Exit Velocity
81.3 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2231 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.6%Swinging Strike
9.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Nola See More
Luis Castillo is back pitching well and has two starts this week, and he’s leading off Todd Zola’s Weekly Pitcher Rankings.
Aaron Nola leads the Philadelphia Phillies against the San Francisco Giants, and Michael Rathburn delivers his MLB Best Bets and Expert Picks for May 3.
Todd Zola considers the impact of the 2024 baseball on the homer totals of certain players, including Corey Seager.
Chicago Cubs-Boston Red Sox is one of the games featured on a full slate, with John Ryan delivering MLB Best Bets and Expert Picks for April 28.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Turns down more money
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, Nola turned down more money elsewhere to re-sign with the Phillies on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Last year's outlook hinted at the possibilities of a strong bounceback season for Nola, and that is indeed what came to be. Years ago, this was the type of pitcher you could get on the cheap coming off the type of season he had in 2021, but fantasy baseball managers are a smarter bunch these days and Nola had very little discount last winter and is likely to bounce right back to his previous draft status this winter. He has now posted a K-BB% greater than 20% for three consecutive seasons and four of the past five seasons and the new conditions of baseball manufacturing were a blessing to him as it pulled his HR/9 rate below 1.0 for the first time since the 2018 season. He has tweaked his pitch mix by throwing more hard stuff and dialing back on his changeup a bit as the league hit .319 off that offering this season. The only concern with Nola heading into 2023 is the fact he finished last year with 230 innings (playoffs included), which is unchartered waters for him as he has never pitched deep into October.
More Fantasy News
Punches out 10 in win
Nola (4-1) allowed three runs on seven hits and a walk over eight innings Friday, striking out 10 and earning a win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises to third win
Nola (3-1) allowed two runs on four hits and one walk over eight innings to pick up the win Sunday against the White Sox. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Twirls gem against Rockies
Nola didn't factor into the decision Monday, allowing one run on four hits and a walk with nine strikeouts over 7.1 innings against Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Goes six innings in second win
Nola (2-1) earned the win Wednesday, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win of season
Nola (1-1) picked up the win Friday over the Nationals, pitching 5.2 scoreless innings and allowing two hits and four walks. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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